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Elo Ratings Table

Track each team's performance throughout the season, using their Elo score. Scores are updated after each game.

How to read this:
A higher score means better recent form and a stronger position for finals success. A rising line is a team on the way up. A falling line is one trending the wrong way.

Select a team to start comparing
1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 FINALS · 28 Aug Adelaide AdrenalineBrisbane LightningCanberra BraveCentral Coast RhinosMelbourne IceMelbourne MustangsNewcastle NorthstarsPerth ThunderSydney BearsSydney Ice Dogs Newcastle Northstars Canberra Brave Melbourne Mustangs Sydney Ice Dogs Melbourne Ice Sydney Bears Perth Thunder Central Coast Rhinos Brisbane Lightning Adelaide Adrenaline 17 Apr 30 Aug

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Newcastle Northstars 1637
Canberra Brave 1626
Melbourne Mustangs 1614
Sydney Ice Dogs 1527
Melbourne Ice 1523
Sydney Bears 1500
Perth Thunder 1466
Central Coast Rhinos 1389
Brisbane Lightning 1388
Adelaide Adrenaline 1329

Last Round's Elo Movers

How each team's rating changed after Fri 28 Aug – Sun 30 Aug.

Newcastle Northstars
Beat Sydney Ice Dogs 10–1; Beat Canberra Brave 2–1.
▲22.8
Perth Thunder
Lost to Sydney Ice Dogs 4–7.
▼14.0
Sydney Bears
Lost to Canberra Brave 3–4.
▼7.1
Melbourne Mustangs
Lost to Canberra Brave 4–5.
▼6.9
Canberra Brave
Beat Sydney Bears 4–3; Beat Melbourne Mustangs 5–4; Lost to Newcastle Northstars 1–2.
▲2.8
Sydney Ice Dogs
Beat Perth Thunder 7–4; Lost to Newcastle Northstars 1–10.
▲2.4
Adelaide Adrenaline
Had a bye this round.
No change
Brisbane Lightning
Had a bye this round.
No change
Central Coast Rhinos
Had a bye this round.
No change
Melbourne Ice
Had a bye this round.
No change

How the rating works

Every team's line starts at 1500 and moves after each result, based on the gap between what was expected and what actually happened. That expectation comes from both teams' ratings, plus a small home-ice edge. A win moves a line up, and a loss moves it down, but not by a fixed amount. Beating a higher-rated team pushes the line up more than beating a weaker one. Losing to a weaker team drops it further than losing to a stronger one. Comfortable regulation wins carry more weight than narrow ones. Overtime or shootout results only move the line a little, since both teams were tied after regulation.