Newcastle Northstars @ Brisbane Lightning: AIHL Win Probability

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📅 Sat 23 May, 2026 · 📍 IceWorld Boondall Brisbane

Newcastle Northstars

Strong Defence Strong Attack

FINAL

Brisbane Lightning

Strong Attack

Predicted correctly, Newcastle Northstars were favoured 62%

⚠ Missing From Roster Regulars from each team's recent games who didn't dress today, including suspensions, as detected by comparing game-day rosters. Players who left the club in the past three weeks are listed too.

Newcastle Northstars · 3 missing

Brisbane Lightning · 2 missing

Newcastle Northstars

#14 Thomas Garas FRotation player

0 pts, 268th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#66 Adrien SEBAG FRotation player

2 pts, 204th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#27 Liam Manwarring FRotation playerLong-term

4 pts, 156th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 2 May, 2026 · 3 straight games missed

Brisbane Lightning

#22 Alex Campbell DHigh impact

45 pts, 26th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#20 Harley Anderson FRotation player

2 pts, 193rd in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

Match Centre

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Newcastle Northstars	4	1	5	10
Brisbane Lightning	3	3	1	7

Shots on goal by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Newcastle Northstars	18	20	18	56
Brisbane Lightning	13	16	13	42

Play by play

Team	Description	Time
1st Period
	Goal #78 Sacha Rapchuk Assists: Eric Walker, Batu Gendunov Score: 0–1	16:19
	Goal #27 Grant Hebert Assists: Eric Walker Score: 0–2	14:55
	Penalty #44 Calvin Bright Fighting (5:00)	14:41
	Penalty #44 Calvin Bright Game Misconduct (20:00)	14:41
	Penalty #28 Bryce Hodges Interference (2:00)	14:41
	Penalty #28 Bryce Hodges Fighting (5:00)	14:41
	Penalty #28 Bryce Hodges Game Misconduct (20:00)	14:41
	Goal (Power Play) #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Francis Drolet, Santeri Haarala Score: 1–2	13:53
	Goal #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Aziz Baazzi Score: 2–2	12:35
	Penalty #84 Julian Fodor Elbowing (2:00)	11:45
	Goal #24 Liam Ryan Assists: Francis Drolet Score: 3–2	6:39
	Penalty #78 Sacha Rapchuk Holding (2:00)	1:51
	Goal (Power Play) #17 Francis Drolet Assists: Evgenii Skachkov, Akihide Watanabe Score: 4–2	1:10
	Penalty #24 Liam Ryan Cross Checking (2:00)	1:02
	Goal (Power Play) #88 Zachery Gumm Assists: Neil Pretorius, Anthony Barnes Score: 4–3	0:15
2nd Period
	Goal #9 Anthony Barnes Assists: Zachary Shankar Score: 4–4	18:38
	Penalty #24 Liam Ryan Interference (2:00)	14:30
	Goal (Power Play) #13 Zachary Shankar Assists: Batu Gendunov, Grant Hebert Score: 4–5	13:08
	Goal #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Riley Klugerman, Santeri Haarala Score: 5–5	12:31
	Goal #27 Grant Hebert Assists: Batu Gendunov, Tanner Hopps Score: 5–6	7:28
	Penalty #6 Akihide Watanabe Elbowing (2:00)	5:18
	Penalty #17 Luka Ouimette Slashing (2:00)	2:38
	Penalty #13 Zachary Shankar Cross Checking (2:00)	0:06
3rd Period
	Goal #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Santeri Haarala, Akihide Watanabe Score: 6–6	15:20
	Penalty #88 Zachery Gumm Interference (2:00)	14:51
	Goal (Power Play) #12 Riley Klugerman Assists: Santeri Haarala, Evgenii Skachkov Score: 7–6	13:25
	Penalty #77 Hunter Boland Cross Checking (2:00)	11:36
	Goal #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Santeri Haarala Score: 8–6	7:24
	Penalty #24 Liam Ryan Slashing (2:00)	6:37
	Goal (Power Play) #13 Zachary Shankar Assists: Grant Hebert, Tanner Hopps Score: 8–7	6:23
	Penalty #25 Evgenii Skachkov Roughing (2:00)	5:41
	Penalty Team Penalty Too Many Players (2:00)	3:36
	Goal #15 Beau Taylor Unassisted Score: 9–7	1:10
	Goal #20 Santeri Haarala Assists: Evgenii Skachkov Score: 10–7	0:35
	Penalty #23 Maliq West Roughing (2:00)	0:05
	Penalty #2 Brian Funes Roughing (2:00)	0:05
	Penalty #23 Maliq West Roughing (2:00)	0:05
	Penalty #17 Luka Ouimette Roughing (2:00)	0:05
	Penalty #9 Anthony Barnes Roughing (2:00)	0:05

Full box score

Newcastle Northstars

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
25	Evgenii Skachkov	5	3	8	2
20	Santeri Haarala	1	5	6	0
17	Francis Drolet	1	2	3	0
12	Riley Klugerman	1	1	2	0
6	Akihide Watanabe	0	2	2	2
15	Beau Taylor	1	0	1	0
24	Liam Ryan	1	0	1	6
10	Aziz Baazzi	0	1	1	0
2	Brian Funes	0	0	0	2
23	Maliq West	0	0	0	4
44	Calvin Bright	0	0	0	25
71	Shane Southwood	0	0	0	0
77	Ethan Hawes	0	0	0	0
86	Mackenzie Gallagher	0	0	0	0
91	Patrick Nadin	0	0	0	0
96	Hunter Ellen	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
75	Matthew Montgomery	-	-	0	-	–	0
32	Matus Trnka ST	43	7	36	.837	−2.0	0

Brisbane Lightning

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
27	Grant Hebert	2	2	4	0
13	Zachary Shankar	2	1	3	2
87	Batu Gendunov	0	3	3	0
9	Anthony Barnes	1	1	2	2
42	Tanner Hopps	0	2	2	0
55	Eric Walker	0	2	2	0
78	Sacha Rapchuk	1	0	1	2
88	Zachery Gumm	1	0	1	2
26	Neil Pretorius	0	1	1	0
15	Thomas Kiliwnik	0	0	0	0
17	Luka Ouimette	0	0	0	4
18	Arum Rapchuk	0	0	0	0
24	Aaron Wanat	0	0	0	0
28	Bryce Hodges	0	0	0	27
47	Jack Mollee	0	0	0	0
77	Hunter Boland	0	0	0	2
84	Julian Fodor	0	0	0	2
91	Josh Labrie	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
70	Dillon Dewar	-	-	0	-	–	0
31	Jakob Doornbos ST	54	8	46	.852	−1.7	0

Head-to-head this season

Date	Away	Score	Home
12 July	Brisbane Lightning	5–9	Newcastle Northstars
30 May	Brisbane Lightning	7–3	Newcastle Northstars
24 May	Newcastle Northstars	10–0	Brisbane Lightning
23 May	Newcastle Northstars	10–7	Brisbane Lightning