Adelaide Adrenaline @ Central Coast Rhinos: AIHL Win Probability

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📅 Sat 23 May, 2026 · 📍 Erina Ice Arena

FINAL

Predicted correctly, Central Coast Rhinos were favoured 66%

⚠ Missing From Roster Regulars from each team's recent games who didn't dress today, including suspensions, as detected by comparing game-day rosters. Players who left the club in the past three weeks are listed too.

Adelaide Adrenaline · 6 missing · 1 recently departed

Central Coast Rhinos · 5 missing · 3 recently departed

Adelaide Adrenaline

#6 Zachary Boyle DRotation player

7 pts, 135th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#9 Marcel McGuiness FRotation player

2 pts, 183rd in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#12 Josh AdkinsRotation player

2 pts, 184th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#55 Darcy Flanagan DRotation player

6 pts, 142nd in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#15 VIACHESLAV SARKISYANTS DRotation player

3 pts, 172nd in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#19 Luka Loria DRotation player

0 pts, 236th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#12 Josh AdkinsDeparted

2 pts for Adelaide Adrenaline this season

Josh Adkins moved from Adelaide Adrenaline to Melbourne Ice

Reported 22 May 2026

Central Coast Rhinos

#13 Patrik Dittrich DRotation player

2 pts, 197th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#10 Cameron Hughes FRotation player

6 pts, 143rd in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#43 Patrick Ward DRotation player

2 pts, 198th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#27 Stuart Cole-Clark DRotation player

3 pts, 175th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#33 Sean Ellison G

Missing this game

Played 2 of last 5 games

#45 Kanta HashimotoDeparted

9 pts for Central Coast Rhinos this season

Kanta Hashimoto leaves the Central Coast Rhinos

Reported 21 May 2026

Gabriel RobledoDeparted

Gabriel Robledo moved from Central Coast Rhinos to Sydney Ice Dogs

Reported 16 May 2026

Aziz BaazziDeparted

Aziz Baazzi moved from Central Coast Rhinos to Newcastle Northstars

Reported 13 May 2026

Match Centre

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Adelaide Adrenaline	2	0	1	3
Central Coast Rhinos	4	1	2	7

Shots on goal by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Adelaide Adrenaline	14	9	15	38
Central Coast Rhinos	14	19	10	43

Play by play

Team	Description	Time
1st Period
	Goal #18 Raphael Bastille Unassisted Score: 0–1	18:07
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Elbowing (2:00)	17:15
	Penalty #20 Robert Malloy Hooking (2:00)	13:42
	Goal #18 Raphael Bastille Assists: Alexandre Boivin, Saxon Air Score: 0–2	11:09
	Goal #86 Alexandre Boivin Assists: Mackenzie Bolger, Danick Bouchard Score: 0–3	9:25
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Cross-checking (2:00)	7:52
	Goal (Power Play) #3 Mackenzie Bolger Assists: Sam Sywak Score: 0–4	5:08
	Penalty #22 Aiden Downie Boarding (2:00)	4:33
	Goal (Power Play) #9 Daniel O'Handley Assists: Tucker Scantlebury, Austin Pickford Score: 1–4	3:43
	Goal #4 Julian Friederich Assists: KOLBY JOHNSON, Morris O'Handley Score: 2–4	1:12
2nd Period
	Penalty #26 Joey MacDougall Tripping (2:00)	15:00
	Penalty #46 Austin Pickford Hooking (2:00)	6:50
	Goal #18 Raphael Bastille Assists: Alexandre Boivin, Danick Bouchard Score: 2–5	2:15
	Penalty #91 Scott Dewar Misconduct (10:00)	0:30
3rd Period
	Goal (Shorthanded) #18 Raphael Bastille Assists: Alexandre Boivin, Henri Kohvakka Score: 2–6	17:25
	Penalty #75 Gregory Chystyakov Elbowing (2:00)	14:44
	Penalty #20 Robert Malloy Tripping (2:00)	13:30
	Goal (Power Play) #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Assists: Austin Pickford, Daniel O'Handley Score: 3–6	13:06
	Penalty #90 Hayden Sayers Roughing (2:00)	7:38
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Roughing (2:00)	7:38
	Penalty #46 Austin Pickford Checking to the Head (5:00)	7:38
	Penalty #46 Austin Pickford Game Misconduct: Checking to the Head (20:00)	7:38
	Penalty Anand Oberoi Tripping (2:00)	3:08
	Goal (Power Play) #83 Danick Bouchard Assists: Raphael Bastille, Tyler Kubara Score: 3–7	2:56
	Penalty #83 Danick Bouchard Hooking (2:00)	1:41

Full box score

Adelaide Adrenaline

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
9	Daniel O'Handley	1	1	2	0
81	KOLBY JOHNSON	1	1	2	4
46	Austin Pickford	0	2	2	27
4	Julian Friederich	1	0	1	0
15	Tucker Scantlebury	0	1	1	2
27	Morris O'Handley	0	1	1	0
7	Ryan Foll	0	0	0	0
13	Nathaniel Benson	0	0	0	0
14	Dominik Trnka	0	0	0	0
16	Jake Riley	0	0	0	0
17	Andrew Chen	0	0	0	0
18	Zachary Steele	0	0	0	0
20	Damon von Einem	0	0	0	0
23	Kyle MacPhail	0	0	0	0
26	Joey MacDougall	0	0	0	2
73	Steve Best	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
31	Cale Dolan ST	43	7	36	.837	−2.0	0
1	Jeremy Friederich	-	-	0	-	–	0

Central Coast Rhinos

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
18	Raphael Bastille	4	1	5	0
86	Alexandre Boivin	1	3	4	0
83	Danick Bouchard	1	2	3	2
3	Mackenzie Bolger	1	1	2	0
16	Tyler Kubara	0	1	1	0
19	Saxon Air	0	1	1	0
23	Henri Kohvakka	0	1	1	0
71	Sam Sywak	0	1	1	0
8	jamie Blazevic	0	0	0	0
14	Nikolas Panayi	0	0	0	0
17	Tanner Hamilton	0	0	0	0
20	Robert Malloy	0	0	0	4
22	Aiden Downie	0	0	0	2
48	Timothy Rye	0	0	0	0
75	Gregory Chystyakov	0	0	0	2
90	Hayden Sayers	0	0	0	2
91	Scott Dewar	0	0	0	10

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
29	Anand Oberoi ST	38	3	35	.921	+1.4	2
1	Riley White	-	-	0	-	–	0

Head-to-head this season

Date	Away	Score	Home
23 May	Adelaide Adrenaline	3–7	Central Coast Rhinos
16 May	Central Coast Rhinos	4–1	Adelaide Adrenaline
26 Apr	Adelaide Adrenaline	2–4	Central Coast Rhinos