Melbourne Ice @ Sydney Bears: AIHL Win Probability

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📅 Sat 9 May, 2026 · 📍 Macquarie Ice Rink, Sydney

FINAL

Predicted correctly, Sydney Bears were favoured 58%

⚠ Missing From Roster Regulars from each team's recent games who didn't dress today, including suspensions, as detected by comparing game-day rosters. Players who left the club in the past three weeks are listed too.

Melbourne Ice · 3 missing

Sydney Bears · 2 missing

Melbourne Ice

#88 Brandon LucchesiRotation player

5 pts, 147th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#10 Joakim Erdugan FHigh impact

57 pts, 17th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#4 Michael McMahon DRotation player

2 pts, 199th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

Sydney Bears

#6 Richard CroweRotation player

0 pts, 274th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#16 Ryan Annesley DRotation player

7 pts, 139th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

Match Centre

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Melbourne Ice	0	1	0	1
Sydney Bears	2	1	1	4

Shots on goal by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Melbourne Ice	12	10	13	35
Sydney Bears	15	9	18	42

Play by play

Team	Description	Time
1st Period
	Penalty #19 Corey Stringer Hooking (2:00)	19:20
	Goal (Power Play) #19 Noah Moncrieff Assists: Kenshin Hayashi, Alexander Wardlaw Score: 0–1	18:55
	Penalty #97 Tyerell Clare Holding (2:00)	17:08
	Penalty #37 Finn Withey Hooking (2:00)	14:35
	Goal #21 Brian Chambers Assists: Tomas Landa, Alexander Gauthier Score: 0–2	8:24
	Penalty #9 Gustav Remler-Jensen Roughing (2:00)	4:00
	Penalty #17 Tobie Gilchrist Slashing (2:00)	4:00
2nd Period
	Penalty #3 Todd Graham Tripping (2:00)	15:44
	Goal (Power Play) #82 Louis Olive Assists: Brian Chambers, Lucas Herrmann Score: 0–3	13:57
	Goal #18 Kolton Shindle Assists: Mackenzie Caruana, Austin McKenzie Score: 1–3	11:31
	Penalty #93 Colby Shumak Too Many Players (2:00)	10:25
	Penalty #11 Jed Lake Elbowing (2:00)	6:11
	Penalty #12 Alexander Gauthier Charging (2:00)	1:12
3rd Period
	Penalty #9 Gustav Remler-Jensen Hooking (2:00)	16:54
	Penalty #3 Todd Graham Interference (2:00)	11:07
	Goal #54 Lucas Herrmann Assists: Gustav Remler-Jensen, Louis Olive Score: 1–4	4:57
	Penalty #29 Logan brodie Hooking (2:00)	3:26
	Penalty #12 Alexander Gauthier Checking to the Head (5:00)	3:26
	Penalty #12 Alexander Gauthier Game Misconduct: Checking to the Head (20:00)	3:26

Full box score

Melbourne Ice

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
18	Kolton Shindle	1	0	1	0
9	Mackenzie Caruana	0	1	1	0
81	Austin McKenzie	0	1	1	0
3	Todd Graham	0	0	0	4
6	Nathan Cachia	0	0	0	0
11	Jed Lake	0	0	0	2
17	Tobie Gilchrist	0	0	0	2
19	Corey Stringer	0	0	0	2
23	Lachlan Cincotta	0	0	0	0
46	Alexei Rayzman	0	0	0	0
68	lachlan hodge	0	0	0	0
71	Tristan Fraser	0	0	0	0
86	Raymond Khalil	0	0	0	0
91	Jamie Bourke	0	0	0	0
94	Matthew Last	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
74	Thomas Forrest ST	42	4	38	.905	+0.9	0
69	Mackenzie Hill	-	-	0	-	–	0

Sydney Bears

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
21	Brian Chambers	1	1	2	0
54	Lucas Herrmann	1	1	2	0
82	Louis Olive	1	1	2	0
19	Noah Moncrieff	1	0	1	0
9	Gustav Remler-Jensen	0	1	1	4
12	Alexander Gauthier	0	1	1	27
18	Kenshin Hayashi	0	1	1	0
23	Alexander Wardlaw	0	1	1	0
24	Tomas Landa	0	1	1	0
7	Joseph Braun	0	0	0	0
10	Taegan Rippon	0	0	0	0
25	Geoffrey O'Hara	0	0	0	0
29	Logan brodie	0	0	0	2
37	Finn Withey	0	0	0	2
41	Mac Tutton	0	0	0	0
49	Eugene Ju	0	0	0	0
84	Adrian Esposito	0	0	0	0
88	Tyrone Oxlade	0	0	0	0
93	Colby Shumak	0	0	0	2
97	Tyerell Clare	0	0	0	2

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
73	Kirill Friesen	-	-	0	-	–	0
28	Anthony Kimlin ST	35	1	34	.971	+3.1	0

Head-to-head this season

Date	Away	Score	Home
2 Aug	Sydney Bears	6–2	Melbourne Ice
18 July	Sydney Bears	3–8	Melbourne Ice
27 June	Melbourne Ice	6–4	Sydney Bears
9 May	Melbourne Ice	1–4	Sydney Bears