Adelaide Adrenaline @ Sydney Bears: AIHL Win Probability

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📅 Sun 24 May, 2026 · 📍 Macquarie Ice Rink, Sydney

FINAL

Predicted correctly, Sydney Bears were favoured 66%

⚠ Missing From Roster Regulars from each team's recent games who didn't dress today, including suspensions, as detected by comparing game-day rosters. Players who left the club in the past three weeks are listed too.

Adelaide Adrenaline · 8 missing · 1 recently departed

Sydney Bears · 3 missing

Adelaide Adrenaline

#46 Austin PickfordRotation player

3 pts, 160th in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#6 Zachary Boyle DRotation player

7 pts, 135th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#9 Marcel McGuiness FRotation player

2 pts, 183rd in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#12 Josh AdkinsRotation player

2 pts, 184th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#55 Darcy Flanagan DRotation player

6 pts, 142nd in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#15 VIACHESLAV SARKISYANTS DRotation player

3 pts, 172nd in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#19 Luka Loria DRotation player

0 pts, 236th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#73 Steve Best FRotation player

4 pts, 153rd in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#12 Josh AdkinsDeparted

2 pts for Adelaide Adrenaline this season

Josh Adkins moved from Adelaide Adrenaline to Melbourne Ice

Reported 22 May 2026

Sydney Bears

#24 Tomas Landa FRotation player

20 pts, 72nd in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#10 Taegan Rippon FRotation playerLong-term

1 pt, 210th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 9 May, 2026 · 3 straight games missed

#84 Adrian Esposito FRotation playerLong-term

0 pts, 276th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 9 May, 2026 · 3 straight games missed

Match Centre

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Adelaide Adrenaline	1	2	0	3
Sydney Bears	2	3	2	7

Shots on goal by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Adelaide Adrenaline	15	11	11	37
Sydney Bears	9	13	13	35

Play by play

Team	Description	Time
1st Period
	Penalty #82 Louis Olive High-sticking (2:00)	18:06
	Goal #12 Alexander Gauthier Assists: Mac Tutton, Brian Chambers Score: 0–1	14:23
	Penalty #97 Tyerell Clare Tripping (2:00)	11:32
	Goal (Power Play) #9 Daniel O'Handley Assists: Julian Friederich, Jake Riley Score: 1–1	10:16
	Penalty #9 Gustav Remler-Jensen Hooking (2:00)	9:12
	Goal #9 Gustav Remler-Jensen Assists: Brian Chambers, Lucas Herrmann Score: 1–2	4:22
2nd Period
	Penalty #16 Jake Riley Hooking (2:00)	18:44
	Goal (Power Play) #23 Alexander Wardlaw Assists: Ruben Nalos, Alexander Gauthier Score: 1–3	16:55
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Roughing (2:00)	16:55
	Goal (Power Play) #23 Alexander Wardlaw Assists: Gustav Remler-Jensen, Alexander Gauthier Score: 1–4	15:41
	Penalty #4 Julian Friederich Tripping (2:00)	15:41
	Penalty #82 Louis Olive Interference (2:00)	13:53
	Goal (Power Play) #4 Julian Friederich Assists: Daniel O'Handley, Tucker Scantlebury Score: 2–4	12:32
	Penalty #4 Julian Friederich Slashing (2:00)	11:34
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON High-sticking (2:00)	10:32
	Penalty #18 Kenshin Hayashi Holding (2:00)	7:00
	Penalty #11 Dex Mozell Kneeing (2:00)	6:08
	Goal (Power Play) #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Assists: Tucker Scantlebury, Daniel O'Handley Score: 3–4	5:42
	Penalty #26 Joey MacDougall Holding (2:00)	3:32
	Goal #54 Lucas Herrmann Assists: Brian Chambers, Tyrone Oxlade Score: 3–5	0:52
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Interference (2:00)	0:02
3rd Period
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Slashing (2:00)	18:03
	Goal (Power Play) #54 Lucas Herrmann Assists: Alexander Gauthier, Louis Olive Score: 3–6	16:06
	Penalty #9 Gustav Remler-Jensen Hooking (2:00)	14:54
	Goal (Shorthanded) #54 Lucas Herrmann Assists: Louis Olive, Tyerell Clare Score: 3–7	14:36
	Penalty #97 Tyerell Clare Holding (2:00)	13:13
	Penalty #12 Alexander Gauthier Roughing (2:00)	8:29
	Penalty #12 Alexander Gauthier Misconduct (10:00)	8:29
	Penalty #19 Noah Moncrieff Game Misconduct (20:00)	8:29
	Penalty #25 Geoffrey O'Hara Fighting (5:00)	8:29
	Penalty #25 Geoffrey O'Hara Game Misconduct: Fighting (20:00)	8:29
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Fighting (5:00)	8:29
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Game Misconduct (20:00)	8:29
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Instigator (2:00)	8:29
	Penalty #4 Julian Friederich Roughing (2:00)	8:29
	Penalty #4 Julian Friederich Misconduct (10:00)	8:29
	Penalty #37 Finn Withey Hooking (2:00)	1:36

Full box score

Adelaide Adrenaline

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
9	Daniel O'Handley	1	2	3	0
4	Julian Friederich	1	1	2	16
15	Tucker Scantlebury	0	2	2	31
81	KOLBY JOHNSON	1	0	1	4
16	Jake Riley	0	1	1	2
7	Ryan Foll	0	0	0	0
13	Nathaniel Benson	0	0	0	0
14	Dominik Trnka	0	0	0	0
17	Andrew Chen	0	0	0	0
18	Zachary Steele	0	0	0	0
20	Damon von Einem	0	0	0	0
23	Kyle MacPhail	0	0	0	0
26	Joey MacDougall	0	0	0	2
27	Morris O'Handley	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
31	Cale Dolan ST	30	7	23	.767	−3.5	0
1	Jeremy Friederich	5	0	5	1.000	+0.6	0

Sydney Bears

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
54	Lucas Herrmann	3	1	4	0
12	Alexander Gauthier	1	3	4	12
21	Brian Chambers	0	3	3	0
23	Alexander Wardlaw	2	0	2	0
9	Gustav Remler-Jensen	1	1	2	4
82	Louis Olive	0	2	2	4
41	Mac Tutton	0	1	1	0
88	Tyrone Oxlade	0	1	1	0
96	Ruben Nalos	0	1	1	0
97	Tyerell Clare	0	1	1	4
7	Joseph Braun	0	0	0	0
11	Dex Mozell	0	0	0	2
18	Kenshin Hayashi	0	0	0	2
19	Noah Moncrieff	0	0	0	20
25	Geoffrey O'Hara	0	0	0	25
29	Logan brodie	0	0	0	0
37	Finn Withey	0	0	0	2
49	Eugene Ju	0	0	0	0
77	Timothy Newmark	0	0	0	0
93	Colby Shumak	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
28	Anthony Kimlin	-	-	0	-	–	0
60	Hayden Plimley ST	37	3	34	.919	+1.3	0

Head-to-head this season

Date	Away	Score	Home
24 May	Adelaide Adrenaline	3–7	Sydney Bears
3 May	Sydney Bears	2–3 /SO	Adelaide Adrenaline
2 May	Sydney Bears	4–3	Adelaide Adrenaline