Newcastle Northstars @ Brisbane Lightning: AIHL Win Probability

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📅 Sun 24 May, 2026 · 📍 IceWorld Boondall Brisbane

Newcastle Northstars

Strong Defence Strong Attack

FINAL

Brisbane Lightning

Strong Attack

Predicted correctly, Newcastle Northstars were favoured 65%

⚠ Missing From Roster Regulars from each team's recent games who didn't dress today, including suspensions, as detected by comparing game-day rosters. Players who left the club in the past three weeks are listed too.

Newcastle Northstars · 4 missing

Brisbane Lightning · 1 missing

Newcastle Northstars

#14 Thomas Garas FRotation player

0 pts, 268th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#66 Adrien SEBAG FRotation player

2 pts, 204th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#27 Liam Manwarring FRotation playerLong-term

4 pts, 156th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 2 May, 2026 · 4 straight games missed

#22 Taj Lowrey FRotation playerLong-term

0 pts, 265th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sun 10 May, 2026 · 3 straight games missed

Brisbane Lightning

#22 Alex Campbell DHigh impact

45 pts, 26th in the league

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

Match Centre

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Newcastle Northstars	3	2	5	10
Brisbane Lightning	0	0	0	0

Shots on goal by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Newcastle Northstars	11	15	22	48
Brisbane Lightning	10	10	8	28

Play by play

Team	Description	Time
1st Period
	Goal #20 Santeri Haarala Assists: Evgenii Skachkov, Akihide Watanabe Score: 1–0	18:23
	Penalty #20 Santeri Haarala Holding (2:00)	14:55
	Penalty #2 Brian Funes Slashing (2:00)	12:37
	Goal #20 Santeri Haarala Assists: Evgenii Skachkov Score: 2–0	4:58
	Goal #17 Francis Drolet Assists: Beau Taylor, Liam Ryan Score: 3–0	3:25
	Penalty #13 Zachary Shankar Interference (2:00)	3:08
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Slashing (2:00)	1:02
	Penalty #91 Patrick Nadin Unsportsmanlike conduct (2:00)	0:26
	Penalty Matus Trnka Roughing (2:00)	0:26
	Penalty #27 Grant Hebert Roughing (2:00)	0:26
	Penalty #25 Evgenii Skachkov Hooking (2:00)	0:00
2nd Period
	Goal #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Riley Klugerman Score: 4–0	17:14
	Penalty Matus Trnka Tripping (2:00)	9:55
	Penalty #17 Francis Drolet Tripping (2:00)	9:41
	Penalty #24 Aaron Wanat High-sticking (2:00)	5:10
	Goal (Power Play) #20 Santeri Haarala Assists: Evgenii Skachkov, Riley Klugerman Score: 5–0	3:20
	Penalty #24 Aaron Wanat High-sticking (2:00)	3:20
3rd Period
	Goal #25 Evgenii Skachkov Assists: Akihide Watanabe Score: 6–0	13:56
	Penalty #91 Patrick Nadin Unsportsmanlike conduct (2:00)	13:28
	Penalty #91 Patrick Nadin Unsportsmanlike conduct (2:00)	13:28
	Penalty Jakob Doornbos Tripping (2:00)	11:01
	Penalty #15 Thomas Kiliwnik High-sticking (2:00)	10:06
	Goal (Power Play) #24 Liam Ryan Assists: Akihide Watanabe, Francis Drolet Score: 7–0	9:53
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Instigator (2:00)	8:03
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Aggressor (2:00)	8:03
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Fighting (5:00)	8:03
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Fighting (5:00)	8:03
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Game Misconduct (20:00)	8:03
	Penalty #55 Eric Walker Game Misconduct (20:00)	8:03
	Penalty #20 Santeri Haarala Game Misconduct: 3rd Player In (20:00)	8:03
	Goal (Power Play) #25 Evgenii Skachkov Unassisted Score: 8–0	7:41
	Penalty #25 Evgenii Skachkov Unsportsmanlike conduct (2:00)	7:41
	Goal (Shorthanded) #12 Riley Klugerman Assists: Francis Drolet Score: 9–0	6:23
	Goal (Power Play) #25 Evgenii Skachkov Unassisted Score: 10–0	5:29
	Penalty #12 Riley Klugerman Unsportsmanlike conduct (2:00)	4:50
	Penalty Matus Trnka High Sticking (2:00)	3:15
	Penalty #24 Liam Ryan Cross-checking (2:00)	3:15
	Penalty #18 Arum Rapchuk Slashing (2:00)	3:15
	Penalty #24 Liam Ryan Unsportsmanlike conduct (10:00)	3:15
	Penalty #17 Luka Ouimette Cross-checking (2:00)	1:12

Full box score

Newcastle Northstars

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
25	Evgenii Skachkov	4	3	7	4
20	Santeri Haarala	3	0	3	22
12	Riley Klugerman	1	2	3	2
17	Francis Drolet	1	2	3	2
6	Akihide Watanabe	0	3	3	0
24	Liam Ryan	1	1	2	12
15	Beau Taylor	0	1	1	0
2	Brian Funes	0	0	0	2
10	Aziz Baazzi	0	0	0	0
23	Maliq West	0	0	0	0
44	Calvin Bright	0	0	0	0
71	Shane Southwood	0	0	0	0
77	Ethan Hawes	0	0	0	0
86	Mackenzie Gallagher	0	0	0	0
91	Patrick Nadin	0	0	0	6
96	Hunter Ellen	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
75	Matthew Montgomery	-	-	0	-	–	0
32	Matus Trnka ST	28	0	28	1.000	+3.3	6

Brisbane Lightning

#	Skater	Penalty MinsPIM
9	Anthony Barnes	0
13	Zachary Shankar	2
15	Thomas Kiliwnik	2
17	Luka Ouimette	2
18	Arum Rapchuk	2
24	Aaron Wanat	4
26	Neil Pretorius	0
27	Grant Hebert	2
28	Bryce Hodges	0
42	Tanner Hopps	0
47	Jack Mollee	0
55	Eric Walker	56
77	Hunter Boland	0
78	Sacha Rapchuk	0
84	Julian Fodor	0
87	Batu Gendunov	0
88	Zachery Gumm	0
91	Josh Labrie	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
70	Dillon Dewar ST	26	5	21	.808	−2.0	0
31	Jakob Doornbos	22	5	17	.773	−2.4	2

Head-to-head this season

Date	Away	Score	Home
12 July	Brisbane Lightning	5–9	Newcastle Northstars
30 May	Brisbane Lightning	7–3	Newcastle Northstars
24 May	Newcastle Northstars	10–0	Brisbane Lightning
23 May	Newcastle Northstars	10–7	Brisbane Lightning