Adelaide Adrenaline @ Melbourne Ice: AIHL Win Probability

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📅 Sun 31 May, 2026 · 📍 OBrien Icehouse Melbourne

FINAL

Predicted correctly, Melbourne Ice were favoured 56%

⚠ Missing From Roster Regulars from each team's recent games who didn't dress today, including suspensions, as detected by comparing game-day rosters. Players who left the club in the past three weeks are listed too.

Adelaide Adrenaline · 3 missing · 1 recently departed

Melbourne Ice · 5 missing

Adelaide Adrenaline

#18 Zachary Steele

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#46 Austin PickfordRotation player

3 pts, 160th in the league

Missing this game

Played 3 of last 5 games

#9 Marcel McGuiness FRotation playerLong-term

2 pts, 183rd in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 16 May, 2026 · 3 straight games missed

#12 Josh AdkinsDeparted

2 pts for Adelaide Adrenaline this season

Josh Adkins moved from Adelaide Adrenaline to Melbourne Ice

Reported 22 May 2026

Melbourne Ice

#91 Jamie Bourke FRotation player

28 pts, 51st in the league

Missing this game

Played 5 of last 5 games

#74 Thomas Forrest G

Missing this game

Played 4 of last 5 games

#88 Brandon LucchesiRotation playerLong-term

5 pts, 147th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 2 May, 2026 · 6 straight games missed

#6 Nathan Cachia DRotation playerLong-term

6 pts, 144th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sat 9 May, 2026 · 5 straight games missed

#19 Corey Stringer FRotation playerLong-term

2 pts, 189th in the league

Missing this game

Last appeared Sun 17 May, 2026 · 3 straight games missed

Match Centre

Scoring by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Adelaide Adrenaline	2	2	1	5
Melbourne Ice	2	5	2	9

Shots on goal by period

Team	1	2	3	T
Adelaide Adrenaline	18	14	9	41
Melbourne Ice	21	18	16	55

Play by play

Team	Description	Time
1st Period
	Goal #9 Mackenzie Caruana Assists: Kolton Shindle, Josh Adkins Score: 0–1	19:47
	Penalty #71 Tristan Fraser Elbowing (2:00)	19:15
	Goal #18 Kolton Shindle Assists: Mackenzie Caruana, Austin McKenzie Score: 0–2	11:00
	Goal #4 Julian Friederich Assists: Zachary Boyle Score: 1–2	5:46
	Goal #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Assists: Darcy Flanagan, Tucker Scantlebury Score: 2–2	4:59
	Penalty #2 Lliam Webster Roughing (2:00)	1:39
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Roughing (2:00)	1:39
2nd Period
	Penalty #10 Joakim Erdugan Tripping (2:00)	18:27
	Goal (Power Play) #16 Jake Riley Assists: Daniel O'Handley, Tucker Scantlebury Score: 3–2	16:51
	Penalty #8 Daniel O'Handley Cross-checking (2:00)	14:59
	Penalty #10 Joakim Erdugan Slashing (2:00)	13:14
	Goal (Shorthanded) #42 Josh Adkins Assists: Mackenzie Caruana, Michael McMahon Score: 3–3	12:20
	Goal #10 Joakim Erdugan Assists: Lliam Webster, Todd Graham Score: 3–4	10:33
	Penalty #8 Daniel O'Handley Slashing (2:00)	10:05
	Goal (Shorthanded) #15 Tucker Scantlebury Assists: KOLBY JOHNSON Score: 4–4	8:07
	Goal #42 Josh Adkins Assists: Kolton Shindle, Mackenzie Caruana Score: 4–5	7:01
	Goal (Power Play) #18 Kolton Shindle Assists: Todd Graham, Austin McKenzie Score: 4–6	6:45
	Penalty #55 Darcy Flanagan Boarding (2:00)	6:45
	Goal #9 Mackenzie Caruana Assists: Kolton Shindle, Tobie Gilchrist Score: 4–7	1:09
3rd Period
	Penalty #4 Julian Friederich Checking to the Head (5:00)	17:47
	Penalty #4 Julian Friederich Game Misconduct (20:00)	17:47
	Goal (Shorthanded) #15 Tucker Scantlebury Assists: KOLBY JOHNSON Score: 5–7	16:16
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Tripping (2:00)	14:59
	Goal (Power Play) #11 Jed Lake Assists: Mackenzie Caruana, Josh Adkins Score: 5–8	14:26
	Penalty #55 Darcy Flanagan Abuse of Official (10:00)	14:26
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Roughing (2:00)	13:41
	Penalty #3 Todd Graham Charging (2:00)	10:38
	Goal (Power Play) #10 Joakim Erdugan Assists: lachlan hodge, Alexei Rayzman Score: 5–9	1:23
	Penalty #15 Tucker Scantlebury Roughing (2:00)	0:42
	Penalty #81 KOLBY JOHNSON Abuse of Official (2:00)	0:42
	Penalty Mackenzie Hill Game Misconduct (20:00)	0:00

Full box score

Adelaide Adrenaline

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
15	Tucker Scantlebury	2	2	4	4
81	KOLBY JOHNSON	1	2	3	6
4	Julian Friederich	1	0	1	25
16	Jake Riley	1	0	1	0
6	Zachary Boyle	0	1	1	0
8	Daniel O'Handley	0	1	1	4
55	Darcy Flanagan	0	1	1	12
5	Daniel Koudelka	0	0	0	0
13	Nathaniel Benson	0	0	0	0
14	Dominik Trnka	0	0	0	0
19	Luka Loria	0	0	0	0
26	Joey MacDougall	0	0	0	0
27	Morris O'Handley	0	0	0	0
46	VIACHESLAV SARKISYANTS	0	0	0	0
73	Steve Best	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
31	Cale Dolan ST	39	7	32	.821	−2.4	0
1	Jeremy Friederich	16	2	14	.875	−0.1	0

Melbourne Ice

#	Skater	GoalsG	AssistsA	PointsPTS	Penalty MinsPIM
9	Mackenzie Caruana	2	4	6	0
18	Kolton Shindle	2	3	5	0
42	Josh Adkins	2	2	4	0
10	Joakim Erdugan	2	0	2	4
3	Todd Graham	0	2	2	2
81	Austin McKenzie	0	2	2	0
11	Jed Lake	1	0	1	0
2	Lliam Webster	0	1	1	2
4	Michael McMahon	0	1	1	0
17	Tobie Gilchrist	0	1	1	0
46	Alexei Rayzman	0	1	1	0
68	lachlan hodge	0	1	1	0
8	Lachie Walls	0	0	0	0
23	Lachlan Cincotta	0	0	0	0
71	Tristan Fraser	0	0	0	2
86	Raymond Khalil	0	0	0	0
94	Matthew Last	0	0	0	0

Goaltending

#	Goalie	Shots AgainstSA	Goals AgainstGA	SavesSV	Save %SV%	GSAAGSAA	Penalty MinsPIM
69	Mackenzie Hill	-	-	0	-	–	20
-	Tatsunoshin Ishida ST	41	5	36	.878	−0.2	0

Head-to-head this season

Date	Away	Score	Home
16 Aug	Adelaide Adrenaline	0–10	Melbourne Ice
21 June	Melbourne Ice	7–3	Adelaide Adrenaline
20 June	Melbourne Ice	2–3	Adelaide Adrenaline
31 May	Adelaide Adrenaline	5–9	Melbourne Ice